Category Archives: Offense

Adjusted Points Per Drive 2016

Last year, I created a metric for measuring offensive efficiency called Adjusted Points Per Drive (AdjPPD). Today I’ll be updating the numbers for 2016. If you aren’t familiar with AdjPPD, I strongly encourage you to read the full explanation here. Overview When measured on a per-drive basis, 2016 was the highest scoring season in the last twenty years, and probably in the history of the NFL (drive stats only go back to 1997, so we can’t be absolutely certain). After adjusting for field position, the average…

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Historical Total Adjusted Yards Averages

In preparation for my series on the statistical production of every quarterback since 1932, I thought it would be helpful to publish today’s post as a reference for what will follow. The three tables below contain the historical Total Adjusted Yards averages for every season in NFL, AFL, and AAFC history (98 league seasons in all).1 Normally, I measure value based on TAY/P relative to league average, multiplied by total plays. However, for this series I decided to measure performance versus a three year average…

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Adjusted Scrimmage Yards

Adjusted Scrimmage Yards is not a new concept at The GridFe; I used the metric last season to measure offensive output from skill players. However, I have never given the metric its own post, so I decided to change that. Today, I want to take a look at the top single seasons and total careers, as measured by Adjusted Scrimmage Yards, since 1992. For those unfamiliar with the metric, the formula is: Rushing and Receiving Yards + Rushing and Receiving Touchdowns*11 + Rushing and Receiving First…

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Yards From Scrimmage Monsters

Today I want to take a look at skill player production as measured by yards from scrimmage. I will look at top performers in standard yards from scrimmage, yards from scrimmage prorated to a 16 game schedule, and yards from scrimmage over multiple baselines. This isn’t meant to be a list of the greatest offensive players in history, but it will certainly shed some light on players who may have been underrated in the eyes of the masses. The methodology for these metrics is very…

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1990s NFL Offenses

If you’ve been following along in this series on the history of NFL offenses, you’ve probably noticed that, although the overall trend in productivity has been positive, there is much ebb and flow within that upward trend.1 After a league-wide offensive explosion in the eighties, innovative defensive coaches began devising successful strategies to slow down the opposition. After peaking in 1985, offensive output began to slow down; in 1992, the league reached its lowest mark since 1978.2 As usual, the base metric for offensive performance…

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1980s NFL Offenses

The 1980s was an exciting time to be a fan of offensive football. The Dark Ages had passed, and Kings from the West led offenses out of the fog and into a new era of enlightenment. Bolstered by rules changes from the previous decade, the passing game became a more favorable option than ever. The defense-dominated seventies were over; a decade of offensive decadence was upon us. TAY = Yds + 20*TD + 9*(1d – TD) – 45*Int – 25*Fmb1 Incorporating first downs into the equation…

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1970s NFL Offenses

If you’ve been following along, you know that I am exploring NFL offenses by the decade. Yes, a decade is an arbitrary constraint to set on something like this, but when put together as a whole, this series weaves a rich tapestry that highlights the evolution of offensive football at the major professional level. We’ve seen how offensive output rapidly increased in the thirties and forties before experiencing a more gradual increase in the fifties and sixties. We’ve also examined the ways in which the…

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AFL Offenses

Regulars know that I am in the middle of a series in the history of NFL offenses.1 Over the long course of the league’s history, only two rivals have ever seriously challenged the NFL – both enough to force an eventual merger. As I did with the All American Football Conference, I am giving the American Football League its own article, separate from the NFL. Much like the AAFC before it, the AFL was known as a far more offensively oriented league than the contemporary…

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1960s NFL Offenses

If you’ve been following along, you know I’m in the middle of a series on NFL offense in each decade.1 Generally, offenses that gain a lot of yards and score a lot of points are held in the highest regard in our collective memory. Winning titles and fielding a few Hall of Famers doesn’t hurt either. My approach, however, is to focus more on teams who were efficient over a large volume of plays. As usual, I am using Total Adjusted Yards as my primary…

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1950s NFL Offenses

If you’re just tuning in, this is a continuation of my look at NFL offenses throughout history. I started in the 1930s before moving on to the offenses of the NFL and the AAFC in the 1940s. Today, I’m taking a look at 1950s NFL offenses. After the NFL-AAFC merger, the talent level of the league was at a then-all-time high. Both offenses and defenses were better than ever, and the increased use of the forward pass seduced more and more fans to stadiums. Moreover,…

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